症状性颈动脉狭窄患者CEA术后的预后改善及影响因素
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1.中国中医科学院望京医院神经外科,北京 100102;2.首都医科大学三博脑科医院神经外科三病区,北京 100093

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石祥恩,Email: shixen@sina.com。

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Improvement in prognosis after carotid endarterectomy and related influencing factors in patients with symptomatic carotid stenosis
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Affiliation:

1.Department of Neurosurgery, Wangjing Hospital of CACMS, Beijing 100102, China;2.Ward 3, Department of Neurosurgery, Sanbo Brain Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100093, China

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    摘要:

    目的 评估症状性颈动脉狭窄(SCS)患者颈动脉内膜剥脱术(CEA)后长、短期预后情况及影响因素。方法 分析首都医科大学三博脑科医院2014年1月—2019年12月经影像学检查确诊的79例SCS患者的临床资料,包括患者的既往病史、临床表现、实验室指标、影像学表现、治疗,以及术前、术后的改良Rankin量表(mRS)分级。分析术后3和24个月的预后改善情况。多因素Logistic回归分析影响因素,建立临床预测模型并对其进行准确性及预测效能评价。结果 SCS患者CEA术前、术后3个月、术后24个月的mRS分级分别为(1.78±1.10)、(1.32±1.37)和(0.89±1.25)。与术前相比,术后3和24个月均明显改善(P<0.01)。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,CEA术后3个月,心肌梗死(OR=0.06,95%CI=0.01-0.32)和高脂血症(OR=0.13,95%CI=0.03-0.47)是影响因素。CEA术后24个月,心肌梗死(OR=0.09,95%CI=0.00-0.66)、高脂血症(OR=0.05,95%CI=0.00-0.29)和中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值(NLR)(OR=0.11,95%CI=0.02-0.50)是影响因素。通过构建的列线图来进行预测有较高的准确性及预测效能。结论 SCS患者CEA术后长、短期神经功能均较术前均有显著改善。心肌梗死、高脂血症是影响CEA术后短期预后的危险因素,心肌梗死、高脂血症、NLR是影响CEA术后长期预后的危险因素。NLR可预测SCS患者CEA术后的长期预后,术前低NLR(<2.62)的患者预后更好。

    Abstract:

    Objective To investigate the long- and short-term prognosis of patients with symptomatic carotid stenosis (SCS) after carotid endarterectomy (CEA) and related influencing factors.Methods An analysis was performed for the clinical data of 79 patients with SCS diagnosed by imaging examination in Sanbo Brain Hospital of Capital Medical University from January 2014 to December 2019, including medical history, clinical manifestations, laboratory markers, imaging findings, treatment, and modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score before and after surgery. The improvement in prognosis was analyzed at 3 and 24 months after surgery. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify related influencing factors, and a clinical prediction model was established and evaluated in terms of accuracy and predictive efficacy.Results The patients with SCS had an mRS score of 1.78±1.1 before CEA, 1.32±1.37 at 3 months after surgery, and 0.89±1.25 at 24 months after surgery, which showed a significant improvement at 3 and 24 months after surgery (P <0.01). The multivariate logistic regression analysis at 3 months after CEA showed that myocardial infarction (odds ratio [OR] = 0.06, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.01-0.32) and hyperlipidemia (OR = 0.13, 95% CI: 0.03-0.47) were risk factors for improvement in short-term prognosis after CEA, and the multivariate logistic regression analysis at 24 months after CEA showed that myocardial infarction (OR =0.09, 95% CI: 0.00-0.66), hyperlipidemia (OR = 0.05, 95% CI: 0.00-0.29), and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (OR = 0.11, 95% CI: 0.02-0.50) were risk factors for long-term prognosis after CEA. The nomogram model established had relatively high accuracy and predictive efficacy.Conclusion The patients with SCS have improvement in both long- and short-term neurological function after CEA. Myocardial infarction and hyperlipidemia are influencing factors for short-term prognosis after CEA, and myocardial infarction, hyperlipidemia, and NLR are influencing factors for long-term prognosis after CEA. NLR can predict the long-term prognosis of SCS patients after CEA, and patients with low preoperative NLR tend to have a better prognosis.

    图1 CEA术后3个月Logistic多因素回归分析Fig.1
    图2 EA术后24个月Logistic多因素回归分析Fig.2
    图3 CEA术后24个月危险因素建立的临床预测模型Fig.3
    图4 临床预测模型的ROC曲线Fig.4
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胡业帅,刘方军,钱海,孙玉明,石祥恩456.症状性颈动脉狭窄患者CEA术后的预后改善及影响因素[J].国际神经病学神经外科学杂志,2023,50(5):32-37111HU Yeshuai, LIU Fangjun, QIAN Hai, SUN Yuming, SHI Xiang’en222. Improvement in prognosis after carotid endarterectomy and related influencing factors in patients with symptomatic carotid stenosis[J]. Journal of International Neurology and Neurosurgery,2023,50(5):32-37

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  • 收稿日期:2023-05-05
  • 最后修改日期:2023-09-04
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-11-30
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